Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027349 0.029976 0.032579 0.035343 0.038192 0.041037 0.044088
2025-01-05 0.021872 0.026075 0.030357 0.035020 0.039931 0.044927 0.050375
2025-01-12 0.017862 0.023049 0.028473 0.034499 0.040952 0.047608 0.054952
2025-01-19 0.014146 0.019916 0.026115 0.033141 0.040781 0.048756 0.057640
2025-01-26 0.012573 0.018952 0.025947 0.033984 0.042814 0.052103 0.062514
2025-02-02 0.010778 0.017564 0.025173 0.034044 0.043888 0.054321 0.066083
2025-02-09 0.008701 0.015670 0.023701 0.033217 0.043897 0.055305 0.068243
2025-02-16 0.007497 0.014721 0.023236 0.033455 0.045018 0.057441 0.071590
2025-02-23 0.006264 0.013629 0.022531 0.033360 0.045718 0.059071 0.074341
2025-03-02 0.005078 0.012482 0.021695 0.033060 0.046142 0.060356 0.076677
2025-03-09 0.004107 0.011528 0.021034 0.032920 0.046708 0.061765 0.079117
2025-03-16 0.003005 0.010250 0.019905 0.032180 0.046553 0.062342 0.080611
2025-03-23 0.002136 0.009286 0.019247 0.032125 0.047344 0.064153 0.083677
2025-03-30 0.001274 0.008158 0.018349 0.031795 0.047850 0.065695 0.086509
2025-04-06 0.000571 0.007016 0.017348 0.031289 0.048119 0.066944 0.088993
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.005544 0.015759 0.029980 0.047394 0.067028 0.090144
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005284 0.015874 0.030792 0.049153 0.069912 0.094396
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004676 0.015420 0.030849 0.049991 0.071724 0.097428
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003724 0.014341 0.030053 0.049775 0.072305 0.099054
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003305 0.014066 0.030282 0.050773 0.074263 0.102210
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002789 0.013570 0.030191 0.051365 0.075735 0.104801
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002245 0.012947 0.029902 0.051694 0.076888 0.107015
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001809 0.012457 0.029767 0.052195 0.078224 0.109422